Morningstar Rating

Stock Research and Analysis

by Matthew Coffina
CVS made a bold move to acquire pharmacy benefit manager Caremark Rx in 2007. In our opinion, this acquisition improved CVS' competitive position by giving the firm unprecedented leverage over suppliers, while also creating the potential for meaningful   Read more 

Bulls Say

In recent years, CVS has consistently been a step ahead of Walgreen on the innovation front, for example by owning in-store health clinics, with its ExtraCare rewards program, and with its consumer-friendly store layout.
CVS Caremark integrates clinical services, PBM functions, and retail pharmacy operations, possibly increasing consumer engagement and creating new avenues for cost saving, such as better therapy adherence, the promotion of over-the-counter drug alternatives, or by encouraging the use of in-store clinics instead of expensive emergency rooms.
CVS Caremark benefits from significant secular tail winds, such as health-care spending growth, a wave of patent expirations on major brand-name drugs, and health-care cost-containment efforts. The company can further boost margins by promoting its private-label brands.
The Caremark acquisition insulates CVS from the growing popularity of mail-order pharmacies, which otherwise would threaten to steal prescription volumes from the retail pharmacies.
To the extent CVS has underutilized capacity in its retail stores, prescriptions dispensed at retail may be more cost effective than mail-order. Read more 

Bears Say

CVS Caremark has failed to increase operating income for its PBM anywhere near as quickly as peers Medco and Express Scripts since the merger was completed. Recent contract repricing could be a sign that customers don't see value in the integrated model.
CVS' retail pharmacy must compete with diversified retailers such as Wal-Mart WMT and supermarket chains, which may have an incentive to price pharmaceuticals aggressively to increase store traffic.
Health reform could hold risks for CVS Caremark, including reimbursement pressure and unfavorable changes to industry pricing benchmarks.
Lobbyists for independent pharmacies are trying to get the Federal Trade Commission to re-examine the CVS/Caremark merger. If antitrust concerns emerge, it could prevent the company from realizing the revenue and cost synergies it expected from programs like Maintenance Choice.
Caterpillar CAT recently negotiated agreements directly with Walgreen and Wal-Mart for access to discounted drugs for its employees. Future deals like this could threaten the PBM's role as an intermediary in the pharmaceutical supply chain. Read more 

Strategy

CVS Caremark's strategy is to leverage its significant purchasing scale to lower its costs, and to seek out revenue synergies through programs that direct PBM customers to the company's retail stores.  Read more 

Management

We think CVS Caremark's management has taken bold steps to remain ahead of the competition and address the challenges facing the retail pharmacy business. Even so, we have some concerns about its corporate governance, especially the seemingly excessive   Read more 

Profile

CVS Caremark combines one of the largest retail pharmacy chains in the U.S. with one of the largest pharmacy benefit managers. The company fills or manages more than 1 billion   Read more 

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Week Ahead Market Report: 2/8/2010 
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