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FelCor Posts 3Q Resultsby Jason Ren | 11-04-09 | 3:56PM | E-mail Article | Print Article
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FelCor Lodging Trust FCH posted third-quarter earnings that were roughly in line with our estimates, but we've upped our cost of debt assumption in light of the firm's punishing October notes issuance. This change in assumptions engenders a cut to our fair value estimate for this hotel real estate investment trust. Revenues per available room, or revPAR, declined by 17.8% in the quarter on a year-over-year basis, which is an improvement from the second quarter's decline of 20.6%. Like other hotel owners, resilient summer leisure demand and deteriorated pricing helped occupancy rates improve considerably from a dismal second quarter on a year-over-year basis. Occupancy rates in the third quarter dropped just 4.4 percentage points, as compared with the 7.7-percentage-point drop in the second quarter. However, average daily rates tanked by 12.5% in the third quarter, worse than the 11.6% decline posted three months prior. With business demand still on the mat, we expect double-digit revPAR declines to continue in the fourth quarter.

The company issued $636 million in senior secured notes in October, effectively refinancing $515 million in senior unsecured notes coming due in 2011. As such, we believe near-term corporate-level debt concerns have been ameliorated. Still, the new note bears a punishing 10% interest rate and leaves FelCor just five unencumbered properties. Additionally, we caution that the hotel owner has sizable near-term mortgage debt landmines that still need to be addressed, and as such, continue to recommend a sizable discount to our fair value estimate prior to investing.


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More Analyst Research Felcor Lodging Trust, Inc. Full Analyst Report


Analyst Notes
08-21-09 | 2:17PM   Felcor under Review
08-06-09 | 1:45PM   Felcor Posts 2Q Results
05-14-09 | 12:28PM   Felcor Reports 1Q Results

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Jason Ren is a stock analyst with Morningstar, and covers a variety of banks and brokerages within the financial services sector. Analyst Feedback.
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FelCor Posts 3Q Results jason.ren@morningstar.com FelCor Posts 3Q Results FCH