Cameco's CCJ third-quarter results yielded little in the way of surprises, and the company maintained its full-year outlook on most segment-level operating estimates. We are affirming our fair value estimate. As has been the case in the previous two quarters, Cameco made sizable spot-market uranium purchases, flipping volume for resale under existing long-term contracts to capture trading profits. Since these sales carry a higher inventory cost than uranium extracted from the company's mines, gross margins were accordingly lower. We're pleased to see the company trade accounting profits for economic profits; its high-grade, low-cost Saskatchewan ore will always be there, but market opportunities may not.Lower average realized uranium prices (down 24% sequentially) also applied pressure to the segment bottom line, although most of the decline was attributable to the fact that this quarter's volume happened to include a larger-than-usual proportion of deliveries made under older contracts that carry lower associated base prices or include price ceilings. Because these older vintage contracts will constitute a proportionately smaller share of deliveries in the coming years, Cameco should benefit from a natural lift in price realizations. Get our full take on
Cameco Corporation, Cameco Corporation
See our complete company report and outlook--including fair value estimate, consider buying and selling prices, risk rating, bull and bear arguments,
and star rating--with a free two-week Morningstar.com Premium Membership trial.
You will also get complete access to all 2,000 Stock Analyst Reports, 2,000 Mutual Fund Analyst Reports, and Morningstar's award-winning Portfolio Management and Screening tools.
Start my free trial Learn more about Premium Membership View Sample Analyst Report
Analyst Notes 08-12-09 | 3:21PM Cameco Continues Spot Buying in 2Q 05-07-09 | 9:45AM Cameco Reports 1Q
More Analyst Research
Cameco Corporation Full Analyst Report
Analyst Notes 08-12-09 | 3:21PM Cameco Continues Spot Buying in 2Q 05-07-09 | 9:45AM Cameco Reports 1Q
|